November 8, 2009

S17 Picks: UT Wk 7; NFL Wk 9


- – – – – – UTV – – – – – – – – – – – – UTG – – – – – -
Bankroll Before Bets:  933 | Bankroll Before Bets: 1759
Bet – – -> (+ 8.5) HOU 110 | Bet – – -> (+ 8.5) HOU 110
Bet – – -> (+10.0) TBX 485 | Bet – – -> (+10.0) TBX 485
Bet – – -> (+12.5) CAR 110 | Bet – – -> (+12.5) CAR 110
Bankroll After Bets:   228 | Bankroll After Bets:  1054

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November 4, 2009

S17 Results: UT Wk 6; NFL Wk 8

- – - – - – UTV – - – - – - – - – - – - UTG – - – - – -
Bankroll Before Bets:  -28 | Bankroll Before Bets:   -28
Bet – - -> (- 3.0) TEN 485 | Bet – - -> (- 3.0) TEN  485
Bet – - -> (+ 3.5) STL 231 | Bet – - -> (+ 3.5) STL  231
Bet – - -> (+11.0) ATL 231 | Bet – - -> (+11.0) ATL  231
Bet – - -> (+13.5) SFX 110 | Bet – - -> (+13.5) SFX 1019
Bankroll After Bets: -1085 | Bankroll After Bets:  -1994
Bet – - – - -> ($) TEN 926 | Bet – - – - -> ($) TEN  926
Bet – - – - -> ($) STL 441 | Bet – - – - -> ($) STL  441
Bet – - – - -> ($) ATL 441 | Bet – - – - -> ($) ATL  441
Bet – - – - -> ($) SFX 210 | Bet – - – - -> ($) SFX 1945
Bankroll After Games:  933 | Bankroll After Games:  1759

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-  -

November 1, 2009

S17 Picks: UT Wk 6; NFL Wk 8

- – - – - – UTV – - – - – - – - – - – - UTG – - – - – -
Bankroll Before Bets:  -28 | Bankroll Before Bets:   -28
Bet – - -> (- 3.0) TEN 485 | Bet – - -> (- 3.0) TEN  485
Bet – - -> (+ 3.5) STL 231 | Bet – - -> (+ 3.5) STL  231
Bet – - -> (+11.0) ATL 231 | Bet – - -> (+11.0) ATL  231
Bet – - -> (+13.5) SFX 110 | Bet – - -> (+13.5) SFX 1019
Bankroll After Bets: -1085 | Bankroll After Bets:  -1994

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October 29, 2009

Looks Like I Picked the Wrong Week to Quit Sniffin Glue (Part Deux)

I’m a day late with the followup post I promised because the lines were all sorts of wacky until this afternoon.  Things are settling down, and we’re about 60 hours away from our next set of results.

Now that last weekend’s pain has subsided some, and we’ve all had a chance to live with the results, I wanted to recap.  Believe it or not, this has been a good year so far.  Starting with a bankroll of 1000, the UT has already produced an additional 700 (CLE 200, KCX 200, MIA 100, MIN 100, STL 100).  If we weren’t currently running up such debts with so many teams the UT’s production would be more visible.  But that’s how things go.  Great reward requires great risk.  Once teams start to turn it around (they will), and things return to normal (they always do), we can expect at least another 500 (STL, IND, NOX, TBX, TEN) added to that 700.

As I was typing I got a sense of deja vu.  I get that a lot with the UT, but this was deja vu specific to the content of this post.  I remembered that around this time last year (turns out it was the same day!) I was typing a similar pep a talk.  You can find it here.  Pointing this out is not intended to suggest that we’re all set this weekend, this season is definitely more challenging than last, but then again, ‘right now’ always seems scarier than ‘back then’.  We’ll get through it eventually.  Bets of luck to all.

October 27, 2009

Looks Like I Picked the Wrong Week to Quit Sniffin Glue

Watching the first 10 minutes of the first two games, the last 10 minutes of the last game, then checking the bankroll after the games, made me feel like McCroskey.

If you’re a UT newbie who thinks he’s feeling some pain, well, you’re not imagining things, this has turned pretty painful.  I’ll share an article about this bizarre season (I love Mr. Youmans’ choice of adjective), and be back tomorrow to explain that things really are better than they seem, they just feel bad now.  You’ll see.  See you tomorrow.

MATT YOUMANS: Rancid teams prove to be bookmakers’ nightmare

…”I can’t remember an NFL season with this many bad teams,” said Las Vegas Hilton sports book director Jay Kornegay, who has been in the business for 22 years. “No doubt, it was the worst day ever for the books.

”We can’t attract money on these poor teams. We keep losing on the same teams. They are not even close to covering.” Keep reading →

October 26, 2009

S17 Results: UT Wk 5; NFL Wk 7

Bankroll Before Bets:      908
Bet---------> (+ 6.5) MIA  110
Bet---------> (+14.0) STL  595
Bet---------> (+15.5) TBX  231
Bankroll After Bets:       -28
Bet-------------> (x) MIA    0
Bet-------------> (x) STL    0
Bet-------------> (x) TBX    0
Bankroll After Games:      -28
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October 25, 2009

S17 Picks: UT Wk 5; NFL Wk 7

Bankroll Before Bets:      908
Bet---------> (+ 6.5) MIA  110
Bet---------> (+14.0) STL  595
Bet---------> (+15.5) TBX  231
Bankroll After Bets:       -28
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October 22, 2009

Split the Banks Into Utilities and Casinos

Not just a big deal that the head of the Bank of England is calling for the break up of big banks in the U.K., it’s noteworthy how honest he is in describing what most of them have become.

From the article:

“The second option might involve preventing banks from combining risky ‘casino’ activities with the basic, utility-type services that they offer, such as providing customers with bank accounts and lending to households and companies. Financial institutions that carry out the risky business could then be allowed to fail without that having an impact on the services crucial to the operation of the economy. This too, has its challenges. For example, history has shown that governments, in the midst of a crisis, have not found it easy to stand behind only the basic services provided to the wider economy if that leaves a risk that the crisis might spread.  Whatever the path we choose, we must move away from the world where banks can take gambles, safe in the knowledge that they will be guaranteed by the government.”

EXCLUSIVE COMMENT BY MERVYN KING: Banks’ casino activities must be curbed

http://www.heraldscotland.com/business/analysis/exclusive-comment-by-mervyn-king-banks-casino-activities-must-be-curbed-1.927501

October 20, 2009

S17 Results: UT Wk 4; NFL Wk 6

2009                NFL Week 6
       Underdog Theorem Week 4
------------------------------
Bankroll Before Bets:      498
Bet----------> (+2.5) BAL  231
Bet----------> (+3.0) TBX  110
Bet----------> (+6.5) KCX  110
Bet----------> (+9.5) STL  485
Bet----------> (+9.5) TEN  231
Bankroll After Bets:      -669
Bet-------------> ($) BAL  441
Bet-------------> (x) TBX    0
Bet-------------> ($) KCX  210
Bet-------------> ($) STL  926
Bet-------------> (x) TEN    0
Bankroll After Games:      908
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October 18, 2009

S17 Picks: UT Wk 4; NFL Wk 6

2009                NFL Week 6
       Underdog Theorem Week 4
------------------------------
Bankroll Before Bets:      498
Bet----------> (+2.5) BAL  231
Bet----------> (+3.0) TBX  110
Bet----------> (+6.5) KCX  110
Bet----------> (+9.5) STL  485
Bet----------> (+9.5) TEN  231
Bankroll After Bets:      -669
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