This is a rushed entry, there is so much more to say about the Indianapolis Colts than what will end up in this space. For anyone new to the UT this year, you might not be aware of how completely dominant of the regular season the Colts have been for a good long time. In [...]
Entries Tagged as ‘The Book’
November 12, 2009
Season 17 Checkpoint
We’ve finally reached calmer waters, and now is a good time to reflect on what we’ve produced. There’s no telling when we’ll reach the shore, so let’s enjoy this break and see where we stand.
So far this year the Underdog Theorem is up almost 30% for the conservative investors who chose the UTV fund, [...]
October 29, 2009
Looks Like I Picked the Wrong Week to Quit Sniffin Glue (Part Deux)
I’m a day late with the followup post I promised because the lines were all sorts of wacky until this afternoon. Things are settling down, and we’re about 60 hours away from our next set of results.
Now that last weekend’s pain has subsided some, and we’ve all had a chance to live with the results, [...]
October 27, 2009
Looks Like I Picked the Wrong Week to Quit Sniffin Glue
Watching the first 10 minutes of the first two games, the last 10 minutes of the last game, then checking the bankroll after the games, made me feel like McCroskey.
If you’re a UT newbie who thinks he’s feeling some pain, well, you’re not imagining things, this has turned pretty painful. I’ll share an article about [...]
December 30, 2008
Season 16 Results
2008 Season 16
Underdog Theorem Results
- – – – – – UTV – – – – – – – – – – – – UTG – – – – – -
Bankroll Start – – > 1000 | Bankroll Start – – > 1000
Bankroll End – – – > 1674 | Bankroll End – – – [...]
December 24, 2008
Simply Amazing
2007, June, a book is published. It focuses on two scenarios: 1) the undefeated NFL season, 2) the winless NFL season.
Weeks later, the 2007 NFL season kicks off and a team nearly goes undefeated. It wins every game of the season before losing its final game. The very next year, the 2008 [...]
December 10, 2008
IMPORTANT: Options for UT Newbies
SEASON 16 FINAL BANKROLL SCENARIOS
-UTV- -UTV%- -UTG- -UTG%-
1774 55 2600 69 < – – BEST CASE
1674 48 2500 65
1574 41 2400 61
1564 40 2390 60
1474 34 2300 56 < – – CURRENT
1464 33 2290 56
1233 17 2059 46
648 -25 1474 21 < – – WORST CASE
The official season will continue for as long [...]
November 14, 2008
VW and FO
VegasWatch has an update on their perfect season calculations. They also point out that FootballOutsiders is tracking these scenarios too. VegasWatch now gives the Titans a 5.2 percent chance of finishing 16-0, and the Lions an 11.1 percent chance of finishing 0-16. The post also notes that FootballOutsiders sees 4.8 and 9.2 percent chances respectively.
